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Trade-offs and synergies between human health and sustainability of Swiss dietary scenarios , Christian Schader, Anita Frehner, Adrian Muller, Carsten Nathani, Birgit Kopainsky, Alig Martina, Sabine Rohrmann, Christine Brombach, Julia Brandes, Matthias Stucki, Matthias Stolze LCAFood2020, 14/10/2020 Aims of the project 1. Define and analyse scenarios for future healthy and sustainable dietary patterns in Switzerland 2. Analyse how healthy dietary patterns support and/or contradict sustainability in the Swiss food system 3. Derive target-group-specific recommendations for the realisation of sustainable and healthy dietary patterns 22 January 2021 2 Project approach WP2: Assessment of dietary WP3: Participatory definition patterns and health impacts of interventions and scenarios t en agemn WP4 / WP 5: Model-based integrated analysis ma NFP69-Phase 1 Model ect j Global mass-flow model or Dynamic simulation model EE-IOM SOLm P: 1P W WP5: Trade-offs and synergies of WP6: Dietary and policy dietary patterns recommendations 22 January 2021 3 Identification of four dietary patterns in the Swiss population on the basis of the menuCH study Swiss traditional Western 1 - soft drinks and meat n=744 (36.2%) n=383 (18.6%) Non-alcoholic Non-alcoholic beverages 1 beverages 1 Alcoholic beverages 1 Others Alcoholic beverages 1 Others Cereals & starchy 0.5 Sauces & seasoning Cereals & starchy 0.5 Sauces & seasoning Red & processed 0 Savoury snacks Red & processed 0 Savoury snacks meat -0.5 meat -0.5 White meat -1 Cakes White meat -1 Cakes Fish Chocolate Fish Chocolate Fruits & nuts Milk & dairy Fruits & nuts Milk & dairy Vegetables Eggs Vegetables Eggs Soups Added fats Soups Added fats Western 2 - alcohol, meat and starchy Prudent n=444 (21.6%) n=486 (23.6%) Non-alcoholic Non-alcoholic beverages 1 beverages 1 Alcoholic beverages Others Alcoholic beverages 1 Others 1 Cereals & starchy 0.5 Sauces & seasoning Cereals & starchy 0.5 Sauces & seasoning Red & processed 0 Savoury snacks Red & processed 0 Savoury snacks meat -0.5 meat -0.5 White meat -1 Cakes White meat -1 Cakes Krieger et al. Fish Chocolate Fish Chocolate 2019, Nutrients Fruits & nuts Milk & dairy Fruits & nuts Milk & dairy Vegetables Eggs Vegetables Eggs 4 Soups Added fats Krieger et al., in revision Soups Added fats Figure 1: Food consumption profiles in the four dietary patterns relative to the overall population Energy-standardised consumptions of the 17 food categories were centered and reduced for the overall study population (z-standardisation). Each axis of the radar plots indicates the mean of the centered-reduced energy-standardised consumption of one food category within one dietary pattern, i.e. how the consumption in a dietary pattern deviates from the consumption in the overall population. A positive (respectively negative) value indicates a consumption above (respectively below) the mean of the overall population. 1Others include meat substitutes, milk substitutes and meal replacements (all categories are described in Supplementary table 1).