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picture1_Irr Excel Template 43152 | Re 01 07 Industrial Development Part 3 After


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File: Irr Excel Template 43152 | Re 01 07 Industrial Development Part 3 After
sheet 1 devproforma 4216 61 ave se investment analysis in cad as stated lesson notes development overview units units this modelcase combines elements of the previous two and expands on ...

icon picture XLSX Filetype Excel XLSX | Posted on 16 Aug 2022 | 3 years ago
Partial file snippet.
Sheet 1: Dev-Pro-Forma
4216 61 Ave SE - Investment Analysis



















($ in CAD as Stated)






























Lesson Notes:








Development Overview:
Units:



Units:























This model/case combines elements of the previous two and expands on them. We've already explained how leases, Vacancies, Expense Reimbursements, etc.









Project Name: Name 4216 61 Ave SE
# Square Feet in 1 Acre:
sq. ft. 43,560 sq. ft.

work, so we will move through those parts of it quite quickly.









Property Type: Name Industrial
Total Square Feet to Purchase:
sq. ft. 784,080 sq. ft.
















Percentage Required for Property:
% 43.0%

Similarities to Previous Lessons: Still calculating revenue and expenses on a lease-by-lease basis, and still calculating IRR and multiples to different groups.









Location: Name Calgary
Gross Square Feet of Property:
sq. ft. 337,154 sq. ft.

Property is still funded with Debt and Equity, and we still sell the entire property at the end.









Construction Start Date: Date 2018-01-01

















Months in Year: # 12
Rentable to Gross Square Feet %:
% 95.0%

Differences: "Construction period" of 1 year where the property is developed (industrial properties take little time - just 1-story warehouses with few frills or













Rentable Square Feet:
sq. ft. 320,297 sq. ft.

fancy features). During this period, both Debt and Equity are used as they are needed - not issued all at once!









Number of Acres to Purchase: # Acres 18.0 Acres

















Estimated Price per Acre: $ / Acre $700,000
Construction Costs per Gross SF:
$ / sq. ft. $50.00

We also have a "lease-up period," where the new tenants start their leases at this brand-new building - some differences on the Pro-Forma.









Land Acquisition Costs: $ $12,600,000
Total Construction Costs:
$ $16,857,720






















We also assume a Permanent Loan to refinance the Construction Loan, which is what happens in real life when the property stabilizes.









Saleable Excess Land Percentage: % 57.0%






This refinancing will also affect the equity IRR because the property's value will change over time!



















Sale of Excess Land will also affect the equity IRR - if we buy land but don't use it, we can sell it to someone else.








Construction, Financing, and Exit Assumptions:
Units:



Units:























Finally, we build more of a "real" waterfall schedule here, with multiple tiers and cash flow splits based on project-level returns.









Construction Financing:


Permanent Loan Refinancing & Exit:















Loan-to-Cost (LTC) Ratio: % 50.0%
Loan-to-Value (LTV) Ratio:
% 55.0%

We'll divide this 90-minute case study into 3 parts of roughly 20-30 minutes each and look at different aspects in each part.









Interest Rate - Annual: % 6.25%
Interest Rate - Annual:
% 4.75%












Interest Rate - Monthly: % 0.506%






Part 1: Assumptions, Construction Phase, and Tenant Rent and Expenses









Issuance Fees: % 1.00%
Issuance Fees:
% 1.00%

Part 2: Property Pro-Forma, Permanent Loan Refinancing, Excess Land Sale, and Equity Returns









Amortization (Years): # Years Interest Only
Amortization (Years):
# Years 30

Part 3: Waterfall Returns and Case Study Answers









Maturity: Date 2018-12-31
Maturity:
Date 2028-12-31












Term: # Years 1 year
Prepayment Penalty:
% 1.00%
















Refinancing Date:
Date 2018-12-31












Developer Equity Contribution: % 10.0%

















IRR Hurdle 1: % 10.0%
Discount Rate:

BIWS: Based on sponsor's targeted unleveraged IRR for new developments. 15.0%












Developer Cash Flow Above IRR Hurdle 1: % 20.0%
Property Value 1 Year After Refi.:
$ BIWS: Using the Year 2 number because Year 1 includes Absorption & Turnover Vacancy, and 30% of the space is vacant in Year 1. $32,969,370












IRR Hurdle 2: % 20.0%
Property Value @ Refinancing:
$ BIWS: Discounting to its value at the end of the Construction Year, i.e. one year back. 28,669,018












Developer Cash Flow Above IRR Hurdle 2: % 30.0%
Permanent Loan Amount:
$ 15,767,960





































Property Selling Costs:
% 1.50%
































Sources & Uses of Funds:









































Sources of Funds:


Uses of Funds:















Construction Loan:
$15,028,860
Land Acquisition Costs:

$12,600,000












Developer Equity:
1,502,886
Construction Costs:

16,857,720












Investor Equity:
13,525,974
Replacement Reserves:

600,000












Total Sources:
$30,057,720
Total Uses:

$30,057,720




































Construction: Operational Years: Stabilized:







Rent Roll & Operating Assumptions:
Units:
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26





























Property-Wide Operating Assumptions:



















Expenses & Taxes per SF per Year: $ / sq. ft. / Yr 2.35

















Expenses & Taxes Annual Growth Rate: % 3.0%

















Property Management Fees % EGI: % 3.0%






































Replacement Reserves per SF per Year: $ / sq. ft. / Yr $0.30

















Replacement Reserve Growth Rate: % 3.0%






































New Lease Term (Years): # Years 5

















Renewal Probability: % 60.0%

















# Months of Downtime for Non-Renewal: # 6






































Free Rent and Capital Costs:
New: Renewal:
















# Months of Free Rent: # 4 2
















Tenant Improvements (TIs) per RSF: $ / sq. ft. / Yr $1.50 1.00
















Leasing Commissions (LCs) % Total Lease Value: % 3.0% 1.0%





































Tenant #1 - Triple Net (NNN) Lease:



















% Rentable Square Feet Occupied: % 65.0%

















Rentable Square Feet Occupied: sq. ft. 208,193 sq. ft.

















Lease Start Date: Date 2018-12-31

















Lease Expiration Date: Date 2022-12-31






































Baseline Rent per Square Foot: $ / sq. ft. / Yr

$7.50 $7.73 $7.96 $8.20 $8.44 $8.69 $8.96 $9.22 $9.50







Rental Growth Rate: %


3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%




























(+) Base Rental Income: $

$1,561,446 $1,608,290 $1,656,538 $1,706,235 $1,757,422 $1,810,144 $1,864,449 $1,920,382 $1,977,993







(-) Absorption & Turnover Vacancy: $

BIWS: Not counting anything here because the tenant moves in as of January 1 of this year. - - - - (351,484) - - -








(-) Concessions & Free Rent: $

(520,482) - - - (410,065) - - -








(-) Tenant Improvements (TIs): $

(312,289) - - - (249,831) - - -








(-) Leasing Commissions (LCs): $

(195,975) - - - (167,947) - - -





























(+) Expense Reimbursements: $

489,253 503,931 519,049 534,620 440,527 567,179 584,194 601,720





























Tenant #2 - Triple Net (NNN) Lease:



















% Rentable Square Feet Occupied: % 30.0%

















Rentable Square Feet Occupied: sq. ft. 96,089 sq. ft.

















Lease Start Date: Date 2019-12-31

















Lease Expiration Date: Date 2023-12-31






































Baseline Rent per Square Foot: $ / sq. ft. / Yr

$8.00 $8.24 $8.49 $8.74 $9.00 $9.27 $9.55 $9.84 $10.13 $10.44






Rental Growth Rate: %


3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%



























(+) Base Rental Income: $

$768,712 $791,773 $815,527 $839,992 $865,192 $891,148 $917,882 $945,419 $973,781 $1,002,995






(-) Absorption & Turnover Vacancy: $

BIWS: It takes a year to find the tenant, so we're deducting the entire Base Rental Income here. (768,712) - - - - (178,230) - -








(-) Concessions & Free Rent: $

- (263,924) - - - (207,935) - -








(-) Tenant Improvements (TIs): $

- (144,134) - - - (115,307) - -








(-) Leasing Commissions (LCs): $

- (99,375) - - - (85,162) - -





























(+) Expense Reimbursements: $

BIWS: No tenant move-in yet, so no expense reimbursements. - 232,583 239,561 246,748 254,150 209,420 269,628 277,717





























Annual Capital Costs: $

(508,265) (243,508) - - (417,778) (200,469) - -








Replacement Reserve Amount: $
600,000 187,824 43,288 145,229 250,228 - - 114,735 232,913





























Numerical Year: Year
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
































Construction: Operational Years: Stabilized:







Property Pro-Forma:
Units:
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26





























Revenue:



















(+) Base Rental Income: $

$2,450,270 $2,523,778 $2,599,491 $2,677,476 $2,757,800 $2,840,534 $2,925,750 $3,013,523








(-) Absorption & Turnover Vacancy: $

(768,712) - - - (351,484) (178,230) - -








(-) Concessions & Free Rent: $

(520,482) (263,924) - - (410,065) (207,935) - -








(+) Expense Reimbursements: $

489,253 736,514 758,610 781,368 694,677 776,598 853,822 879,436








Potential Gross Revenue: $

1,650,329 2,996,367 3,358,101 3,458,844 2,690,928 3,230,968 3,779,572 3,892,959








(-) General Vacancy: $

(120,111) (123,715) (127,426) (131,249) (135,186) (139,242) (143,419) (147,722)








Effective Gross Income (EGI): $

1,530,217 2,872,653 3,230,675 3,327,595 2,555,742 3,091,726 3,636,153 3,745,237





























Operating Expenses:



















(-) Recoverable Expenses: $

(752,697) (775,278) (798,536) (822,493) (847,167) (872,582) (898,760) (925,723)








(-) Management Fee: $

(45,907) (86,180) (96,920) (99,828) (76,672) (92,752) (109,085) (112,357)








(-) CapEx, TI, and LC Reserves: $

(96,089) (98,972) (101,941) (104,999) (108,149) (111,393) (114,735) (118,177)








Total Operating Expenses: $

(894,693) (960,429) (997,398) (1,027,319) (1,031,989) (1,076,728) (1,122,580) (1,156,257)





























Net Operating Income (NOI): $

635,525 1,912,223 2,233,277 2,300,275 1,523,753 2,014,999 2,513,573 2,588,980








NOI Margin: %

41.5% 66.6% 69.1% 69.1% 59.6% 65.2% 69.1% 69.1%





























(-) CapEx, TIs, and LCs: $

(508,265) (243,508) - - (417,778) (200,469) - -








(+) Capital Costs Paid from Reserves: $

508,265 243,508 - - 358,377 111,393 - -





























Adjusted Net Operating Income: $

635,525 1,912,223 2,233,277 2,300,275 1,464,352 1,925,923 2,513,573 2,588,980








Adjusted NOI Margin: %

41.5% 66.6% 69.1% 69.1% 57.3% 62.3% 69.1% 69.1%





























(-) Interest Expense on Permanent Loan: $

(748,978) (737,212) (724,887) (711,977) (698,453) (684,287) (669,448)









(-) Permanent Loan Principal Repayment: $

(247,706) (259,472) (271,797) (284,707) (298,231) (312,397) (327,236)






























Cash Flow to Equity Investors: $

(361,159) 915,539 1,236,593 1,303,591 467,667 929,239 1,516,889






























Ending Permanent Loan Balance: $
15,767,960 15,520,254 15,260,782 14,988,985 14,704,277 14,406,046 14,093,649 13,766,414






























Debt Yield: %

4.0% 12.1% 14.2% 14.6% 9.7% 12.8% 15.9%






























Interest Coverage Ratio - NOI: x

0.85 x 2.59 x 3.08 x 3.23 x 2.18 x 2.94 x 3.75 x









Interest Coverage Ratio - Adjusted NOI: x

0.85 x 2.59 x 3.08 x 3.23 x 2.10 x 2.81 x 3.75 x






























Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) - NOI: x

0.64 x 1.92 x 2.24 x 2.31 x 1.53 x 2.02 x 2.52 x









Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) - Adj. NOI: x

0.64 x 1.92 x 2.24 x 2.31 x 1.47 x 1.93 x 2.52 x

































Construction: Operational Years: Stabilized:







Returns to All Equity Investors:
Units:
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26





























Value of Excess Land: $ $7,182,000 $7,397,460 $7,619,384 $7,847,965 $8,083,404 $8,325,906 $8,575,684 $8,832,954 $9,097,943









Annual Growth Rate in Land Value: %
3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%






























Forward NOI: $

1,912,223 2,233,277 2,300,275 1,523,753 2,014,999 2,513,573 2,588,980









Applicable Cap Rate: %

5.80% 5.70% 5.60% 5.50% 5.60% 5.70% 5.75%









Implied Property Value: $

32,969,370 39,180,300 41,076,347 27,704,600 35,982,120 44,097,773 45,025,743






























(-) Equity Draws: $
(15,028,860) BIWS: No equity draws after construction finishes. - - - - - - -









(+) Permanent Loan Issued: $
15,767,960 BIWS: Only happens once. - - - - - - -









(-) Permanent Loan Financing Fees: $
(157,680) BIWS: Only happens once. - - - - - - -









(-) Construction Loan Refinanced: $
(15,583,300) BIWS: Only happens once. - - - - - - -









(+) Cash Flow to Equity Investors: $
- (361,159) 915,539 1,236,593 1,303,591 467,667 929,239 1,516,889









(+) Proceeds from Sale of Excess Land: $
- - - - 8,325,906 - - -









(+) Proceeds from Sale of Property: $
- - - - - - - 45,025,743









(-) Selling Costs: $
- - - - - - - (675,386)









(-) Repayment of Permanent Loan: $
- - - - - - - (13,766,414)









(-) Prepayment Penalty on Permanent Loan: $
- - - - - - - (137,664)









Total Cash Flows to Equity Investors: $
(15,001,880) (361,159) 915,539 1,236,593 9,629,498 467,667 929,239 31,963,169






























Internal Rate of Return (IRR): %
20.2%





































Total Returns to Equity: $
44,807,525
















Invested Equity: $
15,028,860
















Cash-on-Cash Multiple: x
3.0 x
















Annual Yield on Initial Investment: %

(2.4%) 6.1% 8.2% 64.1% 3.1% 6.2% 212.7%

































Construction: Operational Years: Stabilized:







Waterfall Returns Schedule:
Units:
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26
Lesson Notes:



























Tier 1 IRR - Up to 10.0%:











The setup is very similar to what we saw in the last case study - calculate how much we "should" earn in a given year based on the IRR hurdle






Leveraged IRR to All Equity Investors:











we're at, such as 10% in Level 1. Then, "repay" however much we can based on the Cash Flow to Equity Investors.






Beginning Balance:


(15,001,880) (16,863,228) (17,634,011) (18,160,819) (10,347,404) (10,914,477) (11,076,685)









Returns Accrual: 10.0%

(1,500,188) (1,686,323) (1,763,401) (1,816,082) (1,034,740) (1,091,448) (1,107,668)

And we keep splitting this differently depending on the level we're in - 90/10 initially, then 80/20, and then 70/30.






Repayment: 100.0%

(361,159) 915,539 1,236,593 9,629,498 467,667 929,239 12,184,353









Ending Balance:

(15,001,880) (16,863,228) (17,634,011) (18,160,819) (10,347,404) (10,914,477) (11,076,685) -

DIFFERENCES: We now have multiple tiers, and we're looking at the project-level IRR - not the leveraged IRR to just the LPs! There's no "right" or



















"wrong" way to set this up, just different ways. We're looking at a variation here.






Limited Partners (LPs):



















Beginning Balance:


(13,501,692) (15,176,905) (15,870,610) (16,344,737) (9,312,663) (9,823,029) (9,969,016)

Also, you must be VERY careful with the Initial Equity Contributed. Not just equal to the Equity Draws!






Returns Accrual: 10.0%

(1,350,169) (1,517,691) (1,587,061) (1,634,474) (931,266) (982,303) (996,902)









Repayment: 90.0%

(325,044) 823,985 1,112,934 8,666,548 420,901 836,315 10,965,918

The issue is that we assume a Construction Loan refinancing and Permanent Loan at the end of the Construction Year, so that changes things and






Ending Balance:

(13,501,692) (15,176,905) (15,870,610) (16,344,737) (9,312,663) (9,823,029) (9,969,016) -

boosts the proceeds to equity investors.



























Developer:











So… when we look at the "Ending Balance," we need to factor that in. Assume a proportional 90/10 split since we have no other information.






Beginning Balance:


(1,500,188) (1,686,323) (1,763,401) (1,816,082) (1,034,740) (1,091,448) (1,107,668)









Returns Accrual: 10.0%

(150,019) (168,632) (176,340) (181,608) (103,474) (109,145) (110,767)

Cash Flow Available for Tier 2 Distribution: Cash Flow to Equity Investors (overall) minus Total Repayment in this tier.






Repayment: 10.0%

(36,116) 91,554 123,659 962,950 46,767 92,924 1,218,435









Ending Balance:

(1,500,188) (1,686,323) (1,763,401) (1,816,082) (1,034,740) (1,091,448) (1,107,668) -

Tier 2 is largely the same - we just calculate everything based on a 20% IRR instead. Don't bother to split the cash flows up at this stage since



















it's easier just to calculate what the cash flows "should be" at this 20% IRR level first.






Cash Flow Available for Tier 2 Distribution:


- - - - - - 19,778,815






















Cash Flow Available for Tier 3 Distribution: Cash Flow to Equity Investors (overall) minus Total Repayment in this tier. Do NOT have to subtract






Tier 2 IRR - Up to 20.0%:











the Tier 1 Distributions since Tier 2 included everything up to a 20% IRR.






Leveraged IRR to All Equity Investors:



















Beginning Balance:


(15,001,880) (18,363,416) (21,120,560) (24,108,079) (19,300,197) (22,692,569) (26,301,843)

Waterfall Returns Distributions by Investor Group and IRR Tier: The only tricky part here is that we must get only the cash flows that correspond






Returns Accrual: 20.0%

(3,000,376) (3,672,683) (4,224,112) (4,821,616) (3,860,039) (4,538,514) (5,260,369)

to the Tier 2 IRR - so we take the Tier 3 Availability and subtract the Tier 2 Availability, and then multiply by the split percentage.






Repayment: 100.0%

(361,159) 915,539 1,236,593 9,629,498 467,667 929,239 31,562,212









Ending Balance:

(15,001,880) (18,363,416) (21,120,560) (24,108,079) (19,300,197) (22,692,569) (26,301,843) -

Tier 1 and Tier 3 are easy and exactly what you'd expect.



























Limited Partners (LPs):











Returns Analysis by Investor Group: Also fairly straightforward - just add together everything in the area above, and use the IRR function, or






Beginning Balance:


(13,501,692) (16,490,958) (19,056,719) (21,878,788) (18,550,947) (21,887,003) (25,521,012)

calculate the multiple(s) manually, or calculate the annual yield.






Returns Accrual: 20.0%

(2,700,338) (3,298,192) (3,811,344) (4,375,758) (3,710,189) (4,377,401) (5,104,202)









Repayment: 80.0%

(288,928) 732,431 989,274 7,703,598 374,134 743,391 25,570,535

Case Study Answers:






Ending Balance:

(13,501,692) (16,490,958) (19,056,719) (21,878,788) (18,550,947) (21,887,003) (25,521,012) (5,054,679)






















No, we would not do the deal with the current terms because the LP IRR is below 20%, and the excess land assumption in the beginning makes no






Developer:











sense to us. Issues with the Permanent Loan refinancing, waterfall structure, and lack of data on other scenario as well.






Beginning Balance:


(1,500,188) (1,872,458) (2,063,841) (2,229,291) (749,249) (805,566) (780,831)









Returns Accrual: 20.0%

(300,038) (374,492) (412,768) (445,858) (149,850) (161,113) (156,166)

Biggest issue with the Permanent Loan is Year 1 - we recommend pushing back the refinancing a year so that the property has truly "stabilized."






Repayment: 20.0%

(72,232) 183,108 247,319 1,925,900 93,533 185,848 936,997

Construction Loan repayment would be higher, but we would also be able to use a bigger Permanent Loan balance and possibly even push for






Ending Balance:

(1,500,188) (1,872,458) (2,063,841) (2,229,291) (749,249) (805,566) (780,831) -

a higher LTV with different amortization/interest assumptions.



























Cash Flow Available for Tier 3 Distribution:


- - - - - - 400,957

Approximate IRRs - You can calculate both of these in Excel with XIRR or IRR. Different from the interest rates due to compounding and loan



















fees for the Construction Loan, and Loan Fees/Prepayment Penalty/Early Repayment for the Permanent Loan.






Waterfall Returns Distributions by Investor Group and IRR Tier:
































Much bigger difference for the Construction Loan, which reflects reality - higher risk/potential reward and much shorter time frame.






Tier 1 IRR - Up to 10.0%:



















Limited Partners (LPs): 90.0%

(325,044) 823,985 1,112,934 8,666,548 420,901 836,315 10,965,918

Lender would stress test this very heavily and look at cases where the Downtime between tenants goes up to 12 months, where the rent increases






Developers: 10.0%

(36,116) 91,554 123,659 962,950 46,767 92,924 1,218,435

are negative or much lower, where the renewal probabilities are lower, etc., and see just how bad things get under those assumptions.



























Tier 2 IRR - Up to 20.0%:











"Cash Flow Armageddon" - Worst-case scenario analysis. Won't necessarily say "no" if the numbers look terrible in this case, but might change the






Limited Partners (LPs): 80.0%

- - - - - - 15,502,287

terms of the loan.






Developers: 20.0%

- - - - - - 3,875,572






















Operating assumptions seem realistic based on the market figures provided in the document - rent, free rent/TIs, and so on. But we question the value






Tier 3 IRR - 20.0% or Above:











of the excess land - why buy it if we're not going ot use it? We're also a bit skeptical of the Cap Rate trend and the General Vacancy number since 5%






Limited Partners (LPs): 70.0%

- - - - - - 280,670

is very low, even in Calgary. We also can't assess the construction costs, operating expenses, or property taxes.






Developers: 30.0%

- - - - - - 120,287






















More time and resources - sensitivities and scenarios. What happens when the Cap Rate changes by 1-2% in absolute terms? What about when the






Returns Analysis by Investor Group:











Downtime Months change or when the TIs/LCs/rent changes? What happens if it takes more or less time to find tenants?



























Limited Partners (LP) - Leveraged Returns: $
(13,501,692) (325,044) 823,985 1,112,934 8,666,548 420,901 836,315 26,748,875









Internal Rate of Return (IRR): %
19.3%
















Cash-on-Cash Multiple: x
2.8 x
















Annual Yield on Initial Investment: %

(2.4%) 6.1% 8.2% 64.2% 3.1% 6.2% 198.1%






























Developers - Leveraged Returns: $
(1,500,188) (36,116) 91,554 123,659 962,950 46,767 92,924 5,214,294









Internal Rate of Return (IRR): %
26.6%
















Cash-on-Cash Multiple: x
4.3 x
















Annual Yield on Initial Investment: %

(2.4%) 6.1% 8.2% 64.2% 3.1% 6.2% 347.6%









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...Sheet devproforma ave se investment analysis in cad as stated lesson notes development overview units this modelcase combines elements of the previous two and expands on them we ve already explained how leases vacancies expense reimbursements etc project name square feet acre sq ft work so will move through those parts it quite quickly property type industrial total to purchase percentage required for similarities lessons still calculating revenue expenses a leasebylease basis irr multiples different groups location calgary gross is funded with debt equity sell entire at end construction start date months year rentable differences quot period where developed properties take little time just story warehouses few frills or fancy features during both are used they needed not issued all once number acres estimated price per costs sf also have leaseup new tenants their brandnew building some proforma land acquisition assume permanent loan refinance which what happens real life when stabiliz...

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